Faulty Science Behind Logging in Los Padres National Forest

By the Los Padres ForestWatch

An unprecedented study was published last week in the peer-reviewed journal Fire, exposing a broad pattern of scientific misrepresentations and omissions that have resulted in a “falsification of the scientific record” in recent forest and wildfire studies typically funded or authored by the U.S. Forest Service. This falsified record has had profound implications for how public lands have been managed in recent decades, serving as a faulty scientific foundation for justifying large commercial logging and habitat clearance projects throughout the Western United States, including in the Los Padres National Forest.

The new landmark publication—authored by four top independent fire scientists in the country—focuses on a series of studies used by the Forest Service to craft the popular but misleading narrative that forest lands were historically sparsely vegetated. The theory maintains that modern fire-suppression practices have resulted in a “back-log” of vegetation that is fueling major fires throughout the western United States. This narrative, commonly accepted at face-value, is regularly relied on to justify commercial logging projects on public lands.

In 2022, the Forest Service relied on this falsified record when it announced a project to remove large trees and clear wildlife habitat using heavy equipment across 235,000 acres of the Los Padres National Forest. The proposal, controversially named the Ecological Restoration Project, represents the largest industrial-scale land manipulation in our region, and has received massive opposition from scientists, environmental groups, elected officials, and the general public.

The Pine Mountain Project, a similar logging proposal that received nearly 16,000 letters of opposition from the public, is also based on the misguided theory that commercial logging is essential to keep forests healthy and protect communities from fire.

“The forest management policies being driven by this falsified scientific narrative are often making wildfires spread faster and more intensely toward communities, rather than helping communities become fire-safe,” said Dr. Chad Hanson, research ecologist with the John Muir Project and co-author of the new study. “We need thinning of small trees adjacent to homes, not backcountry management.”

According to the study, a large body of modern research indicates that many commercial logging projects on public lands are based on faulty assumptions and outdated methodology, and that modern “forest thinning” projects—like the “Ecological Restoration Project,” the Pine Mountain Project, and similar proposals in the Los Padres—are not only environmentally damaging, but may be making communities more vulnerable to wildfire at a monumental expense to taxpayers. Studies conducted by Forest Service scientists or funded by the agency have repeatedly included serious flaws while also omitting data and other research that conflicts with their model of what western forests looked like prior to fire suppression, according to the new paper.

“This is perhaps the most comprehensive paper that has been published on the subject of historical fire activity and forest structure in the western United States,” said Baker. “It calls into serious question the narrative that the Forest Service and other agencies have been relying on to justify damaging management activities like logging and clearing of wildlife habitat.”


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Los Padres ForestWatch

Written by Los Padres ForestWatch

Los Padres ForestWatch is a nonprofit that protects wildlife, wilderness, water, and sustainable access throughout the Los Padres National Forest and the Carrizo Plain National Monument. Learn more at lpfw.org.

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29 Comments

  1. The large-old-growth trees (which logging companies treasure) are NOT the issue. The issue is all the undergrowth that is allowed to gain 10′-15′ heights and increased density, causing a huge fire load that kills everything in the soil as it burns so hot… It’s the undergrowth that needs to burn periodically so as to keep the forest(s) soil healthy as well as the medium & large growth trees….

    • Spreading BS is their main strategy now. Come up with substantive policies? Fix real-world problems? Nahhh that’s for nerds. Much easier to screech about trans people or abortion. Or in this case, be pedantic about made-up nonsense telling California to start “raking the forests like Finland does.” Sure, brush-clearing on federal land in wilderness terrain definitely sounds like an easy job for the states! Dear leader said to get the rakes out, we must be bigly and follow. Ooga Booga.

  2. It’s absolutely not natural for the forest to become so overgrown and dense. If the people opposing the pine mountain restoration project have their way, it will become a showcase of why the forest service was right and why the restoration project was needed. Pine mountain will burn sooner or later. With all the overgrowth acting as ladder fuel the large majestic trees will burn too. After that the vegetation will be about as sparse as you would expect to find it on the moon. The restoration project will clear out the overgrowth and small trees which will reduce disease and ensure the large mature trees survive the next fire. Anyone who opposes this restoration project is effectively advocating for the destruction of all the beautiful large trees in this area.

  3. always amusing reading what known trump supporters say when it comes to taking care of our forests. amusing, and rich with bad ideas, lack of science and common sense. How about….leave the forests alone. Those trees didn’t need us raking under it a few thousand years ago. Certainly doesn’t need human intervention now either. Leave it alone and it takes care of itself. That is nature.

  4. It was common for indigenous people of Ca to burn regularly. This kept under brush to a minimum and burned cool enough not to destroy large trees or the soil organisms. Clear brush manually or with fire where possible and leave the large trees alone. Restrained harvest of select large trees in the forest is sustainable unlike that which is proposed.

  5. I volunteer at a preserve that has fires and attendant flooding every 10 -15 years. The forest regenerates so rapidly it is stunning. Small trees spring from base roots if top growth is cinder, small limbs sprout from sides of trees not burnet, after being seeded so many years by large growth trees in the forest, young trees and other plants sprout everywhere, popping up from burnt soil and cinders. Cutting the large trees would eventually make this beautiful wild space a desert with grasses and obnoxious weeds. The new report is correct. So sad that science was used (and funded) by the US Forest Service to justify such stupid forest management. It would appear that the Forest Service continues to be in the sway of the wealthy forest products industry. The public is fighting this fight and finally has a change to win the the US FS and logging industry battle of disinformation.

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